Monday, January 16, 2006

Astonishing Panorama of the Endtimes

Ok, now that I've figured out how to do this, get ready for the pain...

So, here's how the whole thing goes:

http://www.washington.edu/research/or/symposium/hirschman.pdf

If this link works, take a look. As you see, the world population in 1900AD was 1.6 billion humans. This year represents the basic beginning of our use of fossil fuels. Oil and Natural Gas, mostly. We'd been using coal for quite some time, but at nowhere near the scale we use it today.

So, why is this relevant? Because our entire society is based on oil and natural gas. Everything. Oil is in plastics, fertilizers, diesel fuel to plant, harvest and haul food, etc. The list goes on for miles.

Now, let us look at 2000AD. Oil and Natural Gas production are in the midst of a peak in production. After the peak comes the decline. Every day we will produce less than the day before (as an overall trend, though there will be bumpy ups and downs). As the production of oil declines, so does our ability, as a race, to feed all the humans.

There are 6.1 billion people now. These people need oil. Oil is life for 4.5 billion people whose live cannot be sustained without that sweet, sweet crude. 4.5 billion people must die in order to reach the equilibrium we had in 1900 before the unsustainable widespread use of oil. 4.5 billion deaths from starvation.

Do you think they'll all go quietly. Almost 74% of the world population is going to be hungry and desparate. Are you among the 74%. A family of 4 will see 3 family members die. Will it be you who survives, only to see your loved ones starved to death? Or do you band together and take out 4 other families to hoard their resources.

This is the bright future of the world. The future brightened by 4.5 billion funeral pyres.

I know what you're thinking. America will be unaffected. Americans will prevail.

But we've already seen a preview of what is to come. We've already seen the worst of humanity rear it's ungly head in the wake of the hurricanes along the gulf coast. We've seen what extreme scarcity does to the human beast. We are animals. For a thousand years we have fought to remove our animals selves from within us.

But it will come out again.

Soon.


-LORD Gotwa

5 Comments:

Blogger Spook said...

*Cough*NewOrleans*Cough*

6:49 PM  
Blogger Lord Gotwa said...

You should get that looked at.

8:10 PM  
Blogger notyourmommasoatmeal said...

Doesn't supply and demand cover this? As supply is limited, and demand goes up, the cost of oil goes up. As the cost goes up, previous resources that were unprofitable to harvest become more profitable.

It seems that I've read articles about Canada having huge amounts of oil (second to Saudi Arabia) just that it is mixed in with sand and more expensive to get.

Likewise, I seem to recall an article about a bazillion tons of coal being found somewhere around the North Sea. (off Sweden if my memory serves)

9:10 PM  
Blogger Spook said...

A clarification on my prior post - I just think that what happened in NO is a prime example of what we're going to see, just a smaller scale.

notyourmommasoatmeal : Coal isn't a good idea simply because of how filthy the stuff is when it burns. We could easily choke ourselves to death on the stuff in a matter of five years.

(not an expert, though)

6:47 AM  
Blogger Lord Gotwa said...

Supply and demand is indeed in effect here. The problem is a shortage of supply. It's always been in relatively short supply (compared to air, for example). The problem isn't that we're going to run completely out (not right away, anyway). The problem is that it takes more time, cost, and energy to produce oil from, for example, tar sands in Canada. That helps contribute to the overall decline in production. I'll make another post and go into more detail. Excellent question!

12:50 PM  

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